Armchair Quarterback Bears and 20/20 Hindsight

September 13, 2008

The normally on-the-money Angry Bear today:

Perhaps Biden should step down, realizing that right now he is adding nothing to the mud fight and let Hillary take his place. Right now, Biden is a lost cause, chosen because he brought international expertise to the ticket, chosen to counter Obama’s presumed inexperience.

Now that would be a counter to the McCain-Palin nonsense. Suddenly the whole field shifts; there is a new game. Palin versus Hillary. Let’s talk about who is qualified to do what.

While I understand the problems involved in such a change–how does Biden bow out, for example–, I am serious about my suggestion.

This is a terrible, terrible idea if you care about the Democratic party winning this election – - replacing Biden now would make Obama look feckless and disorganized.

For everyone second-guessing his decision – let’s do a thought experiment. Rewind the clock by one month, and imagine that Obama picks Clinton as his VP.

Seeing that he can’t possibly compete on “star power” or identity politics, McCain doubles down on National Security/Foreign Policy cred by picking Tom Ridge.

McCain then continues to hammer away on the Trust and Experience themes he was running for a year.

McCain doesn’t get his “excite the base” bump out of the convention, but with PA now in play and continuing to win over independents who believe that National Security is the #1 issue, he stays within 10 points of Obama nationally, and the electoral college remains a tie like it is today.

Then in late October it happens – - a major international security incident. Maybe, God forbid, another Madrid – - or perhaps an escalation in Georgia – - or perhaps Pakistan goes off the rails.

Democrats scream that the event was incited/enabled by the current Republican administration to help out their side, but to no avail. America does what it has historically done at such time, and makes the “safe” choice in the face of an unsafe world. McCain/Ridge win Ohio, Florida and Nevada on electino day, and we’re done.

Liberal-leaning blogs light up with discussions about how “if only Obama had selected somebody with foreign policy cred” then Democrats would have won the election.

/end thought experiment

I don’t think Biden or the Clintons are out there throwing nearly enough punches – - and I hope that that changes.  I’ve already been critical of Joe in this regard.

But second guessing our quarterback right now is a waste of energy, and, I think, mistaken.

Now get back to work!  :)


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